Nikki Haley Holds No Viable Path to Win White House in 2024

By Thomas Weir Pauken II.

The Nikki Haley for President campaign can best be described as, “There’s Much Ado About Nothing,” the title of Shakespeare’s comedy play. The harsh truth is that Nikki Haley’s campaign benefits the Wall Street bankers, Deep State, US defense contractors, mainstream media and clever Democrats. Yet, her present-day backers don’t believe that she will win the White House in November 2024.

They recognize that Haley is a joke and serving the so-called “useful idiot” role in their elaborate prank to increase their chances of helping Democrats to stay in control of the White House in 2025 and perhaps forevermore.

Nonetheless according to recent media reports and self-proclaimed political experts in the Washington Beltway in recent weeks, Nikki Haley is surging in the polls. They claim that she’s an amazing political candidate, since she’s a woman, Indian-American, young, healthy, photogenic on camera, eloquent speaker, poised on stage, quick thinker and meets the entire checklist for a winning candidate in today’s times.

Haley mimics McCain

Apparently, if Democrat political operatives have sought to prop up a candidate to win the GOP nomination for President and inevitably crash out in the November 2024 elections, Nikki Haley is best suited for that role. She’s the female version of the late US Senator John McCain (R-AZ), who was hailed by the political pundits’ class in 2008 as a brave “maverick” for touting the “truth express” when he campaigned for the Republican Party’s nomination for President.

Back then, Democrats, influential reporters, wealthy donors and Washington DC thought leaders all loved him, until he had finally captured the GOP nomination for President in August 2008. But in the immediate aftermath, those same supporters vanished and pledged to vote for Barack Obama, the former US Senator from Illinois, after he had become the Democrat nominee for president.

Obama had run an inspirational campaign and scored a remarkable victory to get elected as the first black president in the US, but he had also implemented a radical Leftist agenda in the country. He had set the stage to usher in a wave of Wokeism, pro-LGBT and ESG (environment sustainable governance) values, as US President from 2009 to 2017.

By reflecting on this matter with hindsight, it’s obvious that McCain was just a campaign prop for the Democrat Party. Nevertheless, one wonders, if McCain had known that he was getting manipulated by his major donors. Maybe, he thought that he could have won. But his dreams got shattered on Elections Night in November 2008.  

Supposedly, McCain’s political operatives thought that he could have won the White House by campaigning as a moderate to bridge the huge divide amid the incendiary and hyper partisan politics in the US. Meanwhile, McCain was a strident neoconservative, beholden to the Pentagon’s military industrial complex status quo.

McCain had stood fervently opposed to Russia, Iran, Venezuela, North Korea, Syria, China and all other perceived enemy nation states of the USA in 2008. He also excoriated Obama for saying that he would “dialogue with dictators.” In reality, McCain’s foreign policy agenda would have been disastrous for the country if he had gotten elected to the White House. The world is a safer place, because McCain had never become President.

Hence, McCain’s pro-war radicalism gave Democrats incentive to vote against him in 2008, even though they might have supported him as a moderate on social and economics’ values. Accordingly, we are witnessing the same scenario come into play with the rise of Nikki Haley’s presidential campaign.

Winning Democrat friends to backfire

Haley is delivering speeches and granting media interviews, which follow an overall narrative to demonstrate her credentials as the ideal moderate candidate, who deserves to win the GOP nomination for President in 2024. She makes the argument that former US President Donald J. Trump and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis are far-Right extremists and they can’t win the general elections against a Democrat nominee.

Haley insists that she’s the only competent candidate who can defeat Democrats to win back the White House in November 2024. But the argument has deep flaws and overwhelming contradictions. First of all, many registered-Republican voters, who plan to vote in the upcoming states’ primaries and caucuses, lean more conservative than moderate.

Additionally, Trump is poised to win all the state’s primaries and caucuses with large leads, according to polls that survey registered Republican voters alone. Yet, Haley could still capture the Republican Party’s nomination with a conniving scheme. She could move forward on a shadow campaign to encourage registered Democrats to vote for her in the primaries and caucuses.

Haley has no chance to win Iowa, since a majority of registered voters in the rural state are Republicans and lean conservative on social and economics’ issues. But New Hampshire is a different story. Trump never captured New Hampshire’s electoral votes in 2016 and 2020.

NH Republican voters lean moderate and Chris Sununu, a Republican, the state’s governor endorsed Nikki Haley for president. But still among registered Republican voters in the Granite State, Trump is polling very high and Haley can’t defeat him with just Republican voters.

Haley could persuade Democrats and independents to register as Republicans at the ‘First in the Nation’ primary in New Hampshire set for January 23. This strategy could succeed and she stands a good chance of winning the primary there.

Consequently, the victory in New Hampshire could spark enthusiasm for her campaign, while Democrats, who are fanatically in the “Hate Trump” camp, will support her No Democrat will vote for Haley in the primaries and caucuses, believing that she will get elected to the White House. They will only cast their ballots to defeat Trump, since they obsess over “orange man bad.”

The Democrats won’t vote for her again in November. Additionally, Trump’s supporters will feel cheated by Haley’s tricky voters’ schemes. They will refuse to back her if she wins the GOP at the Republican Party Convention at Milwaukee in November 2024.

And Biden hinted that if Trump doesn’t win the GOP nomination for President, he would drop his re-election bid. Hence, Haley will not be running against Biden, but she will have to defeat a much more popular Democrat politician, who is younger, charismatic and photogenic. It would likely be California Governor Gavin Newsom.

How could Haley defeat Newsom? She might have a viable path to defeat Biden if he’s the Democrat nominee, but that won’t happen. Accordingly, Newsom and the Democrat machine will launch smear attacks and disinformation campaigns against her. She’s also an easy target for mockery.

Getting dubbed ‘Crazy Haley’

Just imagine, Democrat political operatives drawing up media narratives to attack Haley. She’s very emotional and her big eyes and small face make her look paranoid and delusional. The political operatives observing Haley on the campaign trail know that she’s super sensitive to criticisms and this will cause her to over-react and waste efforts defending herself over minor public criticisms.

Apparently, Democrats already suggested that Haley dismissed ‘slavery’ as the most important issue sparking the American Civil War when she answered a question from a member of the audience at one of her town halls.

A smart politician would have ignored the incident and said, “of course I’m opposed to slavery, and I won’t get distracted by silly accusations. It’s important to talk about the real issues that matter to voters instead.”

Nonetheless, Haley spent nearly an entire week defending herself over her misunderstood statement on the Civil War and that keeps voters’ focusing on her apparent gaffe. Her strident response also demonstrates weakness, since she panicked and Democrats could exploit that in the future.

Meanwhile, Haley’s biggest problem would be her pro-war sentiments. Newsom and Democrats will say that if you elect Nikki Haley to the White House, she will incite World War III. They will argue that she will launch nuclear bombs on Iran, North Korea, and Russia. Haley will have a hard time refuting these claims even if she opposes bombing those countries. Nobody will believe that she’s pro-peace.

Haley formerly worked for Boeing Corp. as one of its board of directors. Boeing plays a major role in the Pentagon’s military industrial complex. Haley also posted on X that, “US Defense needs to play offense” to infer that Washington must launch pre-emptive strikes against its enemy nations. She has also received big donations from US defense contractors.

Accordingly, she’s the political candidate bought and paid for by America’s ‘war machine.’ Haley can’t deny this. Additionally, let’s reflect back to Republican voters. Can she inspire unity for the GOP. That’s impossible if she won the primaries and caucuses with strong support from registered Democrat voters.

Trump vs. Haley

There’s no way she can heal the rift between MAGA and moderate GOP voters. Supporters who back Trump are loyal diehards. They are unlikely to seek healing and forgiveness from Haley. They see her as the worst possible type of Republican candidate running for President, because she will say anything to get elected and that makes her look insincere.

Trump inspires his backers, since they believe that he’s fighting the Deep State, the Swamp in the Washington Beltway, Wall Street, US Defense Contractors, globalist elites, and Silicon Valley tech moguls. But Haley conveys an image of corruption, while she comes as pro-war, greedy for money and power and supports the United Nations ‘Net Zero’ Climate Change agenda.

Haley represents the very antithesis to the populist voters, who support Trump. Trump’s voters are mainly social and economics’ conservatives, but with some exceptions. Trump is witnessing a rise in support among Blacks and Hispanics voters, who normally back the Democrat Party. Haley can’t win over Trump’s black and Hispanics voters, because they are anti-war and anti-Establishment.

Trump’s biggest appeal is that he’s a fighter against the globalist elites, mainstream media (MSM) and Democrats, while Haley is a politician who aspires to join the ranks of the elites, curry favor with the MSM and wants to win over the hearts of the Democrat Party’s leadership.

The true spirit of Americans embraces a love for the under dogs and rebels. As US citizens, we have learned in our schools, from our families and our friends that all Americans should demonstrate an independent mindset, embrace creativity and to chart your own course in life. Americans hold low opinions of people who act like followers, think inside the box and are overly cautious, which all seem to encapsulate the very image of Nikki Haley.

She comes across as the type of politician who follows a script, while reviewing the polls before making a tough decision. She seems eager to please her wealthy donors, rather than listening to the concerns of ordinary voters. Consequently, she won’t inspire ordinary registered-Republican voters and she will be lucky to capture 40-50% of registered Republican voters at the ballot box in November.

Role-playing as a ruse

Actually, we could see about half of Republican voters boycotting their votes in November 2024. But if President Joe Biden moves forward on his re-election bid in November, many GOP voters will vote for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and not Nikki Haley. Accordingly, RFK Jr. has a better chance to win the White House in 2024 than Haley.

Haley is just a distraction and her real supporters should not anticipate that she will succeed with her White House ambitions. There’s no realistic course for her to win. It’s a common opinion that Democrats believe Trump winning the GOP nomination for President will help them.

They argue that Trump holds high negatives ratings in polling. An estimated 40 percent of all US voters, including Democrats Republicans and Independents, are NeverTrump. They will vote for a Democrat or RFK Jr. rather than Trump. However, Haley holds sky-high negatives ratings in polls.

In the upcoming November Elections, 40 percent will vote for Trump, 40 percent will vote for the Democrat nominee, while the other 20 percent is still in play. If Biden’s the nominee, we could see polling at Biden – 43%, Trump – 42% and RFK Jr. -15%, and this will result in Trump winning the swing states – Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Arizona.

But let’s say Newsom is the Democrat nominee and Trump is the GOP nominee. We will likely see RFK Jr. suspend his presidential campaign and endorse Governor Newsom for President. Newsom could score a slim victory, but Trump is more likely to win.

Nevertheless, Nikki Haley can’t defeat Newsom. Many Trump supporters will refuse to vote for her and she will lose the swing states on account of that. Haley’s recent rise on the campaign trail is simply a false flag to connive naivete Republicans to support her bid for the GOP nomination for President. Her Democrat supporters today will inevitably become her enemies tomorrow.

Email:  Tmcgregorchina@yahoo.com

X:  @tmcgregorchina

WeChat ID:  8613439758718

---

Thank you for reading today’s newsletter. It looks like this publication will be delivered about two or three times a week. After our first month, starting February 1, 2024, if you want to read the full articles, you will need to be a subscriber for as little as $6.58 / month (paid yearly).